Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers 10/3/2010

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game with the Baltimore Ravens winning 48% of simulations, and the Pittsburgh Steelers 51% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Baltimore Ravens commit fewer turnovers in 47% of simulations and they go on to win 73% when they take care of the ball. The Pittsburgh Steelers wins 75% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Ray Rice is averaging 47 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (17% chance) then he helps his team win 71%. Rashard Mendenhall is averaging 53 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (25% chance) then he helps his team win 74%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is PIT -1 --- Over/Under line is 34.5

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